Picture of the Orr Center, home of the College of Business Page header is Business Conditions and Outlook Survey, University of Southern Indiana, College of Business

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Firms Anticipate Improvement in Business Conditions
within the Local Economy during the first half of 2006

What is the Business Conditions & Outlook Survey?

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Business Outlook for Local Economic Activity
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Comparison of December 2005 to Previous Quarters
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Anticipated Activity of Reporting Firms in Different Sectors:
bulletCommunications
bulletConstruction
bulletFinance and Insurance
bulletHealth Care
bulletManufacturing
bulletPersonal Services
bulletProfessional and Scientific Services
bulletReal Estate
bulletRetail and Wholesale

Releases for past year

bulletDecember 2005
bulletSeptember 2005
bulletJune 2005
bulletMarch 2005

Historical Data

Other Surveys

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Business Outlook for Local Economic Activity

The Business Outlook Index derived from the December survey rose from -5 to 31 between the September 2005 and December 2005 surveys. The most recent survey found that 37 percent of reporting firms felt that future business conditions are likely to improve while 6 percent indicated that conditions are likely to get worse. In comparison, the September 2005 survey found that 20 percent of the reporting firms anticipated improved business conditions while 25 percent expected worsening conditions.

Results from the survey indicate:

bulletA slight change in the proportion of firms indicating that business conditions in the local economy are likely to remain unchanged from 52 percent to 53 percent between the September 2005 and December 2005 surveys. Respondents also indicated that the most pressing problems they face are: health care expenses for employees, high energy cost, competition from other businesses, and uncertainty of future economic performance.
 
bulletWith regard to their own levels of activity, the most recent survey found that 40 percent of reporting firms expect to expand their activity compared to 43 percent in September 2005. Among the reporting firms,54 percent expect to maintain their current levels of activity. For those firms that expect to expand their level of activity, 53 percent anticipate improved business conditions in the local economy.
 
bulletAmong the firms that feel business conditions will get better over the next six months, 58 percent plan to expand their own level of activity over the next two quarters. The percent of firms planning to hire more employees in the future rose from 38 percent to 40 percent between the September 2005 and December 2005 surveys. The most recent survey indicated 53 percent of the reporting firms expect to maintain their current staff levels over the next six months.
 
bulletPlans related to capital expenditures for the next six months changed in an upward direction in the most recent survey compared to the September 2005 survey. The percent of firms planning to increase capital expenditures was 33 percent in the December 2005 survey compared to 26 percent in the September 2005 survey. Among the firms planning to increase capital expenditures, 64 percent expect that conditions for obtaining financing will be easier or about the same in the next six months. Between the two surveys there was a slight decrease in the percent of firms planning to reduce capital expenditures from 12 percent to 11percent.
 
bulletThe percent of firms planning to raise average selling prices was 45 percent in the December 2005 survey, the same as in the September 2005 survey. Meanwhile, there was an increase in the percentage of firms reporting that their employees received more compensation in the preceding six months from 51 percent to 60 percent between the September 2005 and December 2005 surveys.
 
bulletThe proportion of reporting firms anticipating easier access to financing rose from 5 percent in September 2005 to 8 percent in December 2005. At the same time there was a noticeable decline in the proportion of firms unsure about prospects for obtaining funding from 10 percent to 4 percent between the September 2005 and December 2005 surveys.

 

Comparison of December 2005 to Previous Quarters

Business Expectations about Conditions in the Local Economy over the Next Six Months

Businesses' Expectations about Their Own Activity over the Next Six Months

Employment Plans over the Next Six Months

Capital Spending over the Next Six Months

Average Selling Price over the Next Six Months

Access to Financing over the Next Six Months

Diffusion Index of Firm-Level Economic Activity by Sector


Anticipated Activity by Manufacturing Firms: Six-month Forecast


Anticipated Activity by Construction Firms: Six-month Forecast


Anticipated Activity by Real Estate Firms: Six-month Forecast


Anticipated Activity by Firms in Retail and Wholesale Trade: Six-month Forecast


Anticipated Activity by Professional and Scientific Services Firms: Six-month Forecast


Anticipated Activity by Health Care Firms: Six-month Forecast


Anticipated Activity by Personal Services Firms: Six-month Forecast


Anticipated Activity by Communications and Information Firms: Six-month Forecast


Anticipated Activity by Finance and Insurance Firms: Six-month Forecast

Link to Complete December 2005 Report

Hits since 7/1/2004:

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For additional Information:

Professor Mohammed Khayum
Department of Economics & Finance

Phone: 812/465-1681
Email:
mkhayum@usi.edu

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University of Southern Indiana

College of Business
8600 University Boulevard
Evansville, Indiana 47712